Volume Forecasting
Apr 20, 2023
The Volume Forecasting indicator provides a forecast of volume by capturing and extrapolating periodic fluctuations. Historical forecasts are also provided to compare the method against volume at time t.
This script will not work on tickers that do not have volume data.
SETTINGS
- Median Memory: Number of days used to compute the median and first/third quartiles.
- Forecast Window: Number of bars forecasted in the future.
- Auto Forecast Window: Set the forecast window so that the forecast length completes an interval.
USAGE
The periodic nature of volume on certain securities allows users to more easily forecast using historical volume. The forecast can highlight intervals where volume tends to be more important, that is where most trading activity takes place.
More pronounced periodicity will tend to return more accurate forecasts.
The historical forecast can also highlight intervals where high/low volume is not expected.
The interquartile range is also highlighted, giving an area where we can expect the volume to lie.
DETAILS
This forecasting method is similar to the time series decomposition method used to obtain the seasonal component.
We first segment the chart over equidistant intervals. Each interval is delimited by a change in the daily timeframe.
To forecast volume at time t+1 we see where the current bar lies in the interval, if the bar is the 78th in interval then the forecast on the next bar is made by taking the median of the 79th bar over N intervals, where N is the median memory.
This method ensures capturing the periodic fluctuation of volume.
Trading is risky and many will lose money in connection with trading activities. All content on this site is not intended to, and should not be, construed as financial advice. Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other markets involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Hypothetical or Simulated performance results have certain limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do not represent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not been executed, the results may have under-or-over compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, including, but not limited to, lack of liquidity. Simulated trading programs in general are designed with the benefit of hindsight, and are based on historical information. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profit or losses similar to those shown.
Testimonials appearing on this website may not be representative of other clients or customers and is not a guarantee of future performance or success.
As a provider of technical analysis tools for charting platforms, we do not have access to the personal trading accounts or brokerage statements of our customers. As a result, we have no reason to believe our customers perform better or worse than traders as a whole based on any content or tool we provide.
Charts used on this site are by TradingView in which the majority of our tools are built on. TradingView® is a registered trademark of TradingView, Inc. www.TradingView.com. TradingView® has no affiliation with the owner, developer, or provider of the Services described herein.
This does not represent our full Disclaimer. Please read our full disclaimer.
© 2025 LuxAlgo Global, LLC.