Monte Carlo Shuffled Projection

Monte Carlo Shuffled Projection turns recent history into a fan of hypothetical futures. It gathers every bar-to-bar change from a user-set lookback window, shuffles their order, and compounds each reshuffled sequence forward from the latest close: the Monte Carlo method applied to the exact changes your chart just produced. Up to 1,000 simulations are distilled into an Average Line, with standard-deviation lines framing probable territory, support, and resistance.

Because each path reuses the window's real changes, endpoints align with the lookback's slope; the Randomize Direction option flips values at intervals for a broader, less trend-biased range.

How to Trade the Monte Carlo Shuffled Projection?

• Average Line: the mean of all simulated paths, a central estimate of where price could drift if the window's trend and volatility persist.
• Standard-deviation lines: averaged across the full simulation set; treat them as a probabilistic envelope for targets and for judging when a move has outrun recent behavior.
• Visualized paths: enable the individual simulations (the last 99 are drawn) to see how widely outcomes disperse before leaning on the average.

The projection is resampling, not prophecy: it maps the range of outcomes the recent window could plausibly generate, better for stress-testing expectations than for timing entries on its own.

Monte Carlo Shuffled Projection Settings

• Lookback: how many bars feed the simulation.
• Simulation Count: number of shuffled paths, up to 1,000. More runs steady the Average Line.
• Randomize Direction: inverts shuffled changes at intervals for a more normalized distribution of endpoints.
• Visualize Simulations: draws individual paths in randomly picked colors; only the last 99 show.
• Standard Deviation Multiplier: how far the deviation lines sit from the central line.

Frequently Asked Questions

How is this different from the anchored version?

Do the projected lines predict where price will go?

Is the Monte Carlo Shuffled Projection free?